AN ENVIRONMENTAL LOOKING GLASS There's going to be a vibrant spectrum of green at the World Summit on Sustainable Development in Johannesburg: turquoise tree-huggers will swap beads, guerrilla gardeners will plant, jaded policy wonks will lobby. In thi s spectrum, though, some of the colours are aiming to become primary. There's no novelty in this; with every season in history, capital has changed its stripe. It's important, though, to recognise the new green for what i t is - the old black. There have been large international conferences on the state of the environment on two previous occasions now. Each of these summits generated its own spectrum of paperwork, proclamations, declarations and critiques. For each summit, the hue of environmental crisis has been slightly different, and the choice of ideologues coloured by contemporary politics. A central feature of these summits, and Johannesburg is no exception, is the casting of the environmental problem as a hybrid of free-rider and externality problems. To clarify, the definition of a free-rider is a person who receives the benefit of a good but avoids paying for it. Joseph Heller provides a classic statement of the free-rider problem in his Catch 22: "I don't want to be in the war anymore." "Would you like to see our country lose?" Major Major asked. "We won't lose. We've got more men, more money and more material. There are ten million men in uniform who could replace me. Some people are getting killed and a lot more are making money and having fun. Let somebody else get killed." "But suppose everybody on our side felt that way?" "Then I'd certainly be a damned fool to feel any other way. Wouldn't I?" (1) This is different from an externality, the uncompensated impact of one person's actions on the well-being of a bystander. (2) The link between these two stems from the rivalry, but non-excludability of the environment. Everyone wants clean air, for example, but if you can befoul it for free (because it is non- excludable), even if everyone suffers from your using it thus (clean air is rival), and if someone else is so agitated that they're going to clean it up, why bother paying (why not free-ride)? These are the constant elements in the permutations of public policy around the past two environmental summits, and of the forthcoming one. The economic lenses through which these problems have been viewed, however, tell us something uncomfortable about contemporary politics. WITH EVERY GENERATION ITS RHETORIC, WITH EVERY RHETORIC ITS TYRANNY The first summit, in Stockholm in 1972, went under the name of the World Conference on the Human Environment. The principle concerns that the summit pledged to address were limits to growth, the constraints set by the environment on human expansion, both economic and demographic. The Club of Rome's experts had updated Malthus' argument on population limits, announcing that humans were about to use up non-renewable resources, and that resource-shortage catastrophe was imminent. Although the links between the global environment and development were raised (3) before the event, the 'World' of the conference title turned out to be quite a small one. The agenda was driven largely by the concerns of affluent governments. The choice of venue is a telling indicator of the centrality not of global 'sustainable development' but of acid rain in Scandinavia. While the rhetoric of population catastrophe attended the conference rationale, the policy of the conferences belonged not to Malthus but to A. C. Pigou. The state was still, at the time, considered the correct mechanism for addressing the difference between the nominal and real cost of economic activity within society, and Pigou's theories were easily applicable. In the wake of the conference came a raft of resolutions for affluent state s to adopt, plus a few that affected developing countries. The resolutions were giddy with the possibility that international agencies like the UN could tame the externalities involved in industrial capitalism through the flow of information and good will alone. The United Nations Environment Programme was started, and provided a home to Earthwatch, the UN's harmonisation and information disseminating system. In the light of what was to follow, this seems a hopelessly naive remedy to international environmental problems. For then there was silence. There were no major environmental summits for twenty years. The 'lost environmental decade' is explained by a number of reasons: UN was in crisis, Reagan was president of the USA (4), the cold war was becoming considerabl y colder and, it seems, governments did not have much time to worry internationally about the environment. The multilateral hiccough in the 1980s did not, however, prevent a great deal of activist campaigning, with Greenpeace and Green parties forming a particularly strong force in Europe. With this pressure behind them, affluent governments conceded the need for another think about matters environmental. In 1992, the biggest UN conference in its history was held in Rio. Fifteen thousand people attended the Earth Summit. It was a jamboree, a celebration of diversity, a carnival of beads and sandals. The diversity was not restricted to the NGO tent either. In the policy rooms, ideologies came into conflict. Anticipating the so-called Third Way, a resolution was sought for the tension between a neo-liberalised Adam Smith from a bourgeois North and the quasi-socialism of the Chipko movement from the populist South. In these schizophrenic times, it was appropriate that the Earth Summit was coordinated by Maurice Strong, a man who, in his own words, was "a socialist in ideology, a capitalist in methodology." The political solutions developed at the conference straddled this divide admirably. The rhetoric of the Rio declaration was given an appropriately progressive sheen - 'the human environment' became "sustainable development", the concerns of the South (particularly in terms of international transfers to facilitate development) were placed on centre stage, and palliative rhetoric hued the Rio declaration. Over $2 billion in international resources were pledged to the Global Environment Facility (5). There was even reference in the final declaration, despite Israeli howls, to the sustainable development rights of peoples in occupied territories. With the Rio declaration, though, came another document: the massive, encyclopaedic, and diverse Agenda 21. It, too, was a creature of its time, variegated with concepts like 'subsidiarity', 'decentralisation', and a very odd interpretation of 'sustainability'. It is here, in the thickets of Agenda 21, that we find the flower that is about to blossom in Johannesburg. Chapter 2, Section 1 of Agenda 21 reminds us that "The development process will not gather momentum if the global economy lacks dynamism and stability and is beset with uncertainties... The international economy should provide a supportive international climate for achieving environment and development goals by ... inter alia, promoting sustainable development through trade liberalization." Just as the Malthusian rhetoric of the first environmental conference was underwritten by Pigouvian policy, so the proto-third-wayism of the Rio summit had its economist. This time, it was Ronald Coase. Pigou and his followers, thought Coase, had significantly underestimated the transaction costs involved in getting governments to counter externalities. His solution to the problem of public goods was to let market mechanisms attend to the m as far as possible. Equity is not an issue that troubles Coasian analysis overly. An example: Wilfred Beckerman, economist, iconoclast and Coasian, is able to suggest in his Small is Stupid, that the solution to the public-good problem of air pollution is to privatise air. By creating a delineated regime of property rights over air, those who own it will be more inclined to look after it properly, and take more active measures against those who despoil their property by belching toxins into it. Given that air has no national affiliation, a single-state-based solution to the problem is unlikely to be successful (although few would regret a unilateral decision by the United States to curb its disproportionate atmospheric pollution). Given the absence of a world government to prosecute free-riding on other states clean air, and with a central place given to the high transaction costs inevitably occasioned by regulatory mechanisms, the market provides the most efficient answer to the need to internalise the externalities of global atmospheric pollution. The selective privatisation of air is, then, an eminently logical solution to the problem of atmospheric pollution. Motivated more by concerns of equity through allocative efficiency, Coase rarely thought about the wider social context. When he did, his thinking was along these lines: "In general, I believe that the reduction of pollution benefits those who are better off educationally and financially and harms the poorer members of our community." (6) Many poor people, from the survivors of the Union Carbide poisoning of Bhopal shanty towns, to the asthmatic children of Mexico City, beg to differ. THE USES OF MANCUR OLSON And so to the present. This August, Johannesburg will host the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD). Actually, the way it's looking at the moment, Johannesburg will host three conferences: one for official delegates, one for 'civil society', and one for those unable or unwilling to pay the US$165 registration fee to qualify for membership of 'civil society'. The three-tiered arrangement of the conferences tells a sad story of bureaucratic power, control and resistance, one that is very much of our time (7). At the WSSD, the World Bank will be presenting its vision of 'sustain able development'- and it wants an appropriately civilised 'civil society' to play along. The Bank and its friends are preparing to perform on the world stage, and they'd very much like to have a docile audience. So before the show begins, let's study the latest script carefully and prepare to heckle loudly. Then we can walk out of the theatre. And burn it down. Continuing the trend in off-stage ideologues, the third summit has its own wrinkled poster-child: the late Professor Mancur Olson. The latest dispatch from the turrets of international capital is the draft World Bank World Development Report, 2003. Entitled Sustainable Development In A Dynamic Economy, it's the World Bank's manifesto for solving environmental problems, global and local. At its heart, lies Olsonian analysis, analysis that, by its currency, ought to give us pause. Olson had one Big Idea. "Rational, self-interested individuals will not act to achieve their common or group interests", because of the free-rider problem. Yet free riding doesn't happen all the time. Olson, in his Logic of Collective Action, explains why. Having established that members of big groups will want to free ride, he notes that for sufficiently small collectives, if the benefits of to the small group can be localised, there's e very incentive for them to profit from the collective inaction of the majority. As a bonus, because the group is small, free- riding is easier to detect, and prevent. Small numbers of people are able to punch above their w eight because they're small groups. That's it. Size matters. Not relations to the means of production, although this may result in small groups. Not history, although its contingencies may expose one group more than another to the fates of minority existence. Armed with the hammer of his Logic, most problems in society and politics became, for Olson, the same nail. His monomania for finding asymmetries of group size, and explaining political phenomena as a result, put him firmly on the road to a Nobel Prize, which many of his peers believed he would have received were it not for his death in 1998. His spirit, however, lives on. The World Bank has wheeled him out to fight for the environment because of his applicability to the politics of public goods. Consider industrial lobbies. They are able to have their way because they are small, well organised, and have every incentive to fund their activities in order to avoid having to pay for costly environmentally-friendly change. One need only look to the Bush regime's current repose in the pockets of the US energy industry to find evidence. The Bank itself, in a rare moment of lucidity, is sensitive to this. Here's a quote from their report "The lag times between basic research and large-scale commercial deployment are sobering. Private industry is not willing to undertake the necessary basic research in areas such as fusion, geological carbon sequestration, high- efficiency coal combustion, or high-efficiency building technologies for tropical climates. Moreover, there is at least anecdotal evidence of high returns to government funding even in relatively applied research. F or instance, a $3 million public investment in technologies for efficient windows is projected to yield $15 billion in energy savings through 2015-in the United States alone. Yet public funding for basic energy research h as declined in Europe and the United States." (8) Olson seems, on the surface, an eminently appropriate theorist. Industrial interest groups threaten the environment, and they need to be stopped. The trouble is that because Olson's theory is so monochromatic, it can be bent in a number of ways. Not all of these ways are progressive. The World Bank's spin on Olson's analysis is a subtle, and dangerous one. PROTECTIONISM AND SNIVEL SOCIETY The Bank's solution to Olson's problem of small interest groups is one that recasts the original debate in a strange light. The Bank never explicitly talks about power, largely because it's such a difficult idea to define , but also because, one feels, they wouldn't really know it if it beat them about the head. Rather than broach the difficult questions about power, and complicit, that a more nuanced enquiry might demand, the Bank has another solution. The Bank sees the free-rider and small group problems as technical ones. And the way to answer these technical problems is through technocracy, not politics. If we can manage the problems of unrepresentative power of small groups, we'll be better able to manage the under-provision of environmental public goods -or so the argument runs. Have a look at that again, though, as this is a magnificent piece of blamestorming. The Bank is able to use Olson to tar both industrial interest groups and small progressive organisations with the same brush, not because of their politics, power or relationship to society or the natural environment but because they are both small. Small isn't just stupid, according to the Bank. It's environmentally harmful. In the new WDR, the interests of protected industries in developing countries are explored at some length. Two interpretations present themselves, one charitable, the other less so, both valid. Let's start with the charitable version. There is a radically egalitarian streak in neo-liberal economics that is worth acknowledging, because its intentions (though they pave the road to hell) are good. The radical idea in neo-liberalism is that one takes from those small groups of producers who have power, and give to the masses, the 'consumers'. Here's an example of radical, and thoughtfully self-critical, neo-liberal thinking at work : 8.82 : Currently, the price of gasoline is set at one quarter of the world price; kerosene sells at 8 percent and fuel oil at 6 percent of the world price. The Iranian government spends an astounding 18 percent of GDP on these subsidies. One aim is to help the poor. But if the government discontinued the subsidies, sold the oil on world markets, and simply divided the revenue equally among its citizens, then the income of the poorest decile of rural households would triple, and that of the poorest urban households would double. Indeed, on average, every decile in the income distribution would gain. But, energy-intensive industries would experience severe output contractions, and their workers would presumably suffer unless part of the subsidy savings was devoted to assisting them in shifting to the expanding sectors. This is potent stuff. Progressive even. At least, that's the sympathetic way of reading it. The less generous, and more useful, way of understanding this is that the Bank is trying to create in an international bourgeoisie. It's important to understand why this needs to happen. The interests of the owners of capital in different developing countries are not necessarily harmonious. Their unity in the exploitation of their respective domes tic working classes does not, by itself, provide a reason why they should all get along in the international domain. Goods are, after all, in competition in the international market, and profit margins are threatened by different international rates of exploitation. Olson predicts that, in order to counter the threat of reduced profits through international trade competition, domestic bourgeoisies will form protectionist trade groupings t o safeguard high rents. Given the commitment to 'an open international trading system to promote the environment', this is precisely the sort of national bourgeois bloc that the Bank wants to get rid of. In its stead, a new bloc. Gramsci reminds us that there's nothing automatic about harmony within the bourgeoisie - different elements of it can find themselves in positions of hegemony at different times. The same is true internationally. Thus a protectionist comprador bourgeoisie is being challenged by a bloc that is happier with the idea of international trade, with the deindustrialisation and feminisation of the unskilled labour market in the global South. This is a battle between two kinds of bourgeoisie, between a bourgeoisie with a penchant for exploiting its people under the guise of nationalism, and one that does the same under an international flag (9). The predominance of the international bourgeoisie is not something that happens naturally - it takes ideologies like this, interventions like this, and commitment from groups like the Bank, in order to make it happen. Back to Olson again, now, because there's a flip side to the Bank's use of his Logic. Recall that the couching of environmental problems as a battle between small and big groups isn't explicitly about politics - size is t he important factor here. Thus, small groups such as the Environmental Defense Fund or Greenpeace, their massive subscriber base notwithstanding, count as special interest groups. And, given their status as small groups, they come in for the same policy prescription, the same levelling discipline. Having diagnosed that only size matters, the Bank presents its cure: deepen the international policing of domestic politics. Because Olson is so vague about what size means, his critique of small groups provides a license to fight not only the small but immensely powerful industrial interest groups, but also the small and much less powerful groups that constitute civil society. And this strikes at the heart of democracy. Before continuing, it's important not be naive about this. Not all groups from what is called 'civil society' are ones to which radicals, or even progressives, would lend even their qualified support. The Bank and its friends have been making headway into civil society for quite some time. Hence the astro-turf activism of the oil industry lobby groups, astro-turf of course being a dismal substitute for real grassroots. Hence the increasing worry over quite how democratic or representative Southern non-governmental organisations actually are. Hence widespread critique of 'snivel society', of that section of co-opted intellectuals and activists whose politics do more to shore up existing regimes than to challenge them (10). Hence the three tiered structure of the upcoming Johannesburg summit - 1. the multilaterals, 2. co-opted civil society at US$165 a throw, 3. everyone else. The selectivity of the interpretation of Olson gives licence to reinforce existing power arrangements, by failing to draw attention to them. Thus, conspicuously absent from the discussion are issues of eco-racism and patriarchy. It may seem unfair to expect Olson to explain this - he's talking about public goods after all. But this is precisely the point. The exclusion of key areas of social experience, by transforming the problem of sust ainable development into a technocratic management of special interest groups, shows that the Bank's concern with the environment is, at best, superficial. Those instances where technocratic solutions have improved women' s lot, increased spending on girl-child education for example, have been compromised by the Bank's insistence on cost-recovery. In April last year, prompted by the consistently high performance of socialist states in the provision of basic social services as compared to the Bank's record, James Wolfensohn said "Cuba has done a great job on education and health, They have done a good job, and it does not embarrass me to admit it." (11) To put it slightly differently, the dividend of attributing to each summit its economist is that it becomes slightly easier to locate the ideologies of these conferences in racist and patriarchal discourses. Bourgeois economics has a poor track record of addressing issues of race and gender. (12) Its biases, its blind spots, and its weaknesses in providing tools for social change suffuse the policy it recommends. Thus, the Bank's Olsonian understanding comes with a particular vision of the way democracy should operate. Along with the race- class-gender triumvirate, democracy is not something with which the Bank feels terribly comfortable. In the WDR, they note the lack of accountability of interest groups and governments (but, oddly, not international development banks). They then go on to say "Democracy may be an institutional lever that can help [inequity]. Rulers of England committed themselves [sic] by strengthening the hand of the nobility through the creation of a parliament. Indeed , democracy (or a dramatic extension of suffrage to new groups) can be a commitment to redistribution. In many states democracy has been extended in response to social tensions-bringing about successive reductions in inequalities." This is an odd understanding of the mechanisms of social change, one that puts the cart before the horse. Democracy was the outcome of widespread struggle, in which the weak fought the strong. Accountability, of a stripe, was a corollary of the result, but certainly at the tail end of a long, bitter and bloody process. 'Transparency', 'good governance' and the other talismans of anti-politics of our time cannot, by themselves, redress power balances. 'PARTNERSHIP' Olson's magic, therefore, lets the Bank increase surveillance not only over elements of a stubbornly nationalist private sector in the Global South, but to its 'civil society' as well, because they're both domains of small, influential and troublesome opponents to neo-liberalism. If this interpretation is correct, we might expect to see an increase in the number of transnational engagements between non-state bourgeoisies, public and civil . The word for this is 'partnership'. The International Institute for Sustainable Development has already lined up a 'partnership for knowledge' with civil society and the Bank. The World Bank's attempt to run a similar project - the Development Gateway - has already come in for heavy criticism for its lack of transparency, partiality and waste of resources. The IISD's effort is unlikely to avoid the same traps given the kinds of stakeholders involved. At the Johannesburg summit itself, the (co-opted) civil society secretariat has sourced corporate funding, leading to speculation over whether there will be a Coca-Cola Land Squatting event. The Internation al Chambers of Commerce and the World Business Council for Sustainable Development have, for their part, been exceptionally promiscuous, partnering with the UN, the World Bank, some NGOs and a smattering of academic institutions, keen to demonstrate that, if business is left free of the prophylaxis of state regulation, it can consummate its affairs responsibly. UNHAPPY MEAD The orgy of partnerships at the WSSD (and almost every other major multilateral event of late) (13) might make us want to think again about Margaret Mead's oft- quoted soundbite in the activist world: "Never doubt that a s mall group of thoughtful committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it's the only thing that ever has." Although this slogan has been recited as a hard-times mantra by embattled progressives the world over, it's important to remember that it's a double-edged slogan. The Bank is, after all, a small group of thoughtful committed citizens. It's just that their politics are repugnant. And this is where, perhaps, it might be time to jettison Mead as progressive sloganeer. The wisdom of her insight is thoroughly Olsonian. Nothing wrong with that, perhaps, but it is dangerous. It might provide too much succour to those whose tendencies are more centralist than democratic, whose trust in people's ability to choose action rather than free-riding wavers more than it ought. It is also incorrect - many of the finest moments in history have come not from a group of well organised individuals, but the collective actions of hundreds of thousands. Whether this action has been in the home, in the fields, in the factories or in the classroom, populism and mass action remain important. Capital is trying to professionalise activism, in the darkest sense. In light of the large-scale mobilisations around the Bank, UN and global capitalism over the past five years, the most appropriate response is also demonstrably feasible: not a retreat into the shadows of small-organising, but a blaze of mass politics. * Raj Patel (rcp9@cornell.edu) recently received his doctorate from Cornell University and now works with Food First, US. Editor's note: This paper was written before his taking up the position at Food First. Notes: 1. This example is suggested by Richard Hoffman. 2. A concept without which the comedy of farting in a lift would be unthinkable. 3. Of particular interest is the Founex report. Ozorio de Almeida, Miguel, Wilfred Beckerman, Ignacy Sachs, and Gamani Corea. 1972. Environment and development; the Founex report on development and environment. New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. That Wilfred Beckerman, author of the 1995 Small Is Stupid: Blowing the Whistle on the Greens, was on the editorial collective reflects a laudably enduring, if wrong-headed, commitment to the environment. 4. Reagan famously argued that "trees cause pollution". It is true that trees do emit some stratospheric ozone-hostile-volatile hydrocarbons. It is unclear, however, that we can credit president Reagan, perhaps at the height of his intellectual powers in 1982, with understanding this. 5. The sums were pledged, but not delivered. Michael Grubb notes that the disparity between the depths of promise and pocket of commitments to the UNCED process left even the World Bank president 'despondent and angry'. G rubb, Michael and Energy and Environmental Programme (Royal Institute of International Affairs). 1993. The "Earth Summit" agreements: a guide and assessment, an analysis of the Rio '92 UN Conference on Environment and Dev elopment. London: Earthscan Publications Ltd. 6. Coase, Ronald. 1970. Legal and Economic Aspects of Pollution. Chicago: University of Chicago Center for Policy Study, page 9. See Aslanbeigui, Nahid and Steven G Medema. 1998. "Beyond the dark clouds: Pigou and Coase o n social cost." History of Political Economy 30:601-625. for a fine discussion on the similarities and differences between the two thinkers. 7. I am grateful to Chris Brooke for observing that this isn't strictly true. In spirit, it echoes Plato's tri-partite model of the soul, in which reason and the spirit forge an alliance to suppress desire, the political analogue being the bond between philosophers and the military to rule a juvenile and easily distracted populace. Or, today, between the wonks at the Bank and a disciplined NGO corps against the protesters. 8. They ask the public to read and comment, but not to quote. This is standard academic practice between friends. Even colleagues who don't necessarily like one another. But not between the powerful and the powerless. Just as we should feel free to quote liberally from war-plans that fall into our laps, even if they are confidential 'drafts', so we must expose the Bank. The Bank is pretending to be an academic institution. It isn't. It's a factory. The role of the reader in the drafting process is as an input. 9. Consider the current state of affairs in, say, Zimbabwe, Southern Africa, India, any number of fascist European states, etc. 10. For two fine examples, see Petras, James F. and Henry Veltmeyer. 2001. Globalization unmasked: imperialism in the 21st century. Halifax, N.S. London ; New York: Fernwood Pub. ; Zed Books : Distributed in the USA by Palgrave., esp Ch. 8, and Choudry, Aziz. 2002. Whose Beat Should We Dance To? http://www.voiceoftheturtle.org/articles/aziz_beat.shtml 11. This was accompanied by the admission by Eric Swanson, programme manager for the Bank's Development Data Group, that Cuba "is in some sense almost an anti- model". 12. The World Bank's economics hasn't done so well at addressing issues of poverty either. Bank economist William Easterly is puzzled by the economic downturn of those countries, previously in fairly rude health, in which World Bank policy has been applied. See Easterly, William, "The Lost Decades: Developing Countries' Stagnation in Spite of Policy Reform 1980-1998", Journal of Economic Growth (forthcoming), for a case of acute analytic aporia. 13. The Corporate Europe Observatory notes that "The partnership approach has infected much of the discourse in the United Nations of late. Hardly a piece of text or speech goes by which doesn't extol the virtues of partnerships. They build upon the concept of 'multistakeholder dialogues' which have become a fixture in modern governance processes. This seemingly benign concept of various 'stakeholders' getting together around a table and hashing out issues has been championed by business groups since the days of the original Earth Summit in Rio. The reason is clear. By institutionalising their role as 'stakeholder' in official fora, corporations gain considerable influence in any outcomes and benefit from an image boost as they are seen to be 'part of the solution'. "Corporate Europe Observatory. 2002. "Rio +10 and the Privatisation of Sustainable Development." CEO Observer. FOCUS ON TRADE NUMBER 80, AUGUST 2002