Brazil's Lula: Confounding Friends and Foes
15/06/2003
- Opinión
Rio de Janeiro. After nearly six months in office President
Luis Inacio "Lula" da Silva is encountering opposition from
within his own party while he stakes out foreign policy
positions that challenge the Bush administration. As Emir
Sader, a political analyst at the State University of Rio de
Janeiro, proclaims: "The government has adopted a fairly
traditional economic approach that arouses the ire of some in
Lula's Workers Party, while he is using Mercosur, the South
American trade bloc, to confront the Bush administrations'
efforts to impose its commercial agenda on the region."
Within the Workers Party some prominent members have publicly
rebuked Lula for failing to break with the austerity measures
imposed on Brazil by the International Monetary Fund. To
comply with the IMF's demands to balance the budget and make
payments on Brazil's huge international debt, Lula is
maintaining a budgetary surplus that cuts into the country's
ability to sustain some social programs, such as the country's
social security system that is on the brink of bankruptcy.
Critical of Lula's economic team in general, Senator Heloisa
Helena of the Workers Party is leading the charge against
government proposals to tax the income of some of the social
security pensioners to bolster the fund. As a consequence she
and a handful of party congressional members are threatened
with expulsion from the party.
In late May the second highest-ranking official of the IMF,
Anne Krueger, came to Brazil and praised Lula "for his sound
economic policies." Prior to her arrival the government drew
down part of an IMF credit negotiated last year under the
previous government of President Fernando Henriquez Cardoso.
Marcos Arruda of PACS, a non-governmental research center in
Rio de Janeiro, declares: "Lula's economic team by pursuing
IMF-imposed policies is gutting social payments not just for
the retired, but also for the disabled and the poorer families
as well." The pursuance of orthodox economic policies has
also pushed up official unemployment to 12 percent while
domestic interest rates stand at 26.5 percent, among the
highest rates in the world. In Sao Paulo, Brazil's largest
city, unemployment has reached 20 percent.
To Lula's credit, he has stood by his commitment to tackle the
hunger and malnutrition that afflicts over 30 percent of the
country's population. On his first day in office he launched
the anti-hunger program, known as "Fome Zero," At the same
time he cancelled military plans to buy advanced aircraft in
order to use the funds for social programs. As of June pilot
projects to fight hunger are well underway throughout the
country, especially in the northeast that is experiencing
drought and has the largest proportion of poor and
malnourished people in Brazil. Unlike social programs for the
poor in the United States that make people jump through
bureaucratic hoops and participate in work programs to receive
needed assistance, the Brazilian plan allows the poor to fill
out simple forms and receive plastic cards to go to the local
supermarket to purchase a canasta of food each month. "We
promote the involvement of the poor, not their humiliation,"
says Frei Betto, a theologian who helped design the anti-
hunger program.
Some in the Workers Party are also criticizing Lula for
continuing negotiations for Brazils entry into the Free Trade
Area of the Americas (FTAA), a trade initiative pushed by
Washington that is aimed at turning all of the Americas, from
Alaska to Patagonia, into a huge free trade zone by 2005.
However, Lula has staked out positions on trade and foreign
policy that are at variance with the interests of the Bush
administration. In Latin America he is one of the most vocal
critics of the Iraqi war, proclaiming that the United States
"showed a total disrespect for Iraq and the rest of the
world," and "it does not have the right to decide for itself
what is good and what is bad for the world."
Regarding the FTAA, Lula has repeatedly made it clear that the
United States itself must cease protecting its own markets if
it wants Brazil to join the trade zone. As the world's largest
orange juice exporter, Brazil is demanding that Bush drop the
trade barriers that protect the large orange producers in
Florida where his brother Jeb Bush is governor. Also a major
steel exporter, Brazil is denouncing US restrictions imposed
on steel imports last year by the Bush administration.
In an effort to prevent the United States from imposing its
trade agenda on Latin America, Lula is insisting that the U.S.
trade representative, Robert Zoellick, negotiate with the
Mercosur bloc comprised of Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and
Paraguay. With the election of a left of center government in
Argentina lead by Nestor Kirchner, the two largest economies
in the bloc are even discussing a common monetary union. When
Lula attended the inauguration of Kirchner in late May he
proclaimed: "If we work together we have good conditions to
fight against the protectionist barriers of the rich
countries, and to struggle in international forums for an end
to hunger." In a direct attack on Bush's unilateralist foreign
policy, Lula added, "we need to support multilateralism" in
the world community.
Already Lula's government may be facing the ire of
multilateral institutions. The World Bank told Brazil in
January it would provide $5 billion to support its anti-hunger
program. But Francisco Meneses, a specialist in agricultural
and hunger issues at the research center IBASE, notes, "the
World Bank has promised a lot and delivered little. It appears
to be moving in lockstep with the Bush administration to
extract concessions from the government."
One reason for the World Banks' reticence to assist the anti-
hunger program may be that Lula suspended the Land Bank set up
in the 1990s by the World Bank to support "market-oriented
agrarian reform." Under the Land Bank peasants were compelled
to pay for plots of land at relatively high prices and if they
missed payments their lands were confiscated. As Fernando
Moura, a spokesman for the Landless Movement declares: "While
we are hoping Lula will be more forceful in backing our
demands for an accelerated agrarian reform program, the
suspension of the Land Bank is a positive step. We can now
push for agrarian reform based on cooperation, not on market
competition that only favors the big landowners."
Lula is clearly trying to pull off a delicate balancing act.
He is adhering to IMF policies to stave off capital flight and
keep economic pressures from abroad at bay while carrying out
some limited reforms and staking out political and trade
policies that he hopes will give Brazil more independence and
stimulate economic growth in the long run. As Meneses states:
"The Workers Party won the elections but the social and
economic forces affecting Brazil changed little. The
government appears to have little leeway to implement profound
changes for now. Our best hope is that once the economic
situation is stabilized, Lula will be able to implement more
radical reforms."
Marcos Arruda argues for a somewhat different tack for
transforming the country's politics: "To move against anti-
social policies like those of the IMF we need to mobilize. The
real alternative is pressure from below, from the landless,
the poor, students, workers, the unemployed and many others
who are left out. The way to open up space for Lula to adopt
more progressive policies is to mobilize so that domestic and
international consciousness can begin to check the power of
big capital and institutions like the IMF."
* Roger Burbach is director of the Center for the Study of the
Americas (CENSA) and has written extensively on Latin America
and globalization. His next book, "The Pinochet Affair: State
Terrorism and Global Justice," will be released by Zed Books
in the fall.
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